Lab · Playbook candidates
Patterns awaiting a fair prospective test.
Three exploratory historical patterns are prepared for prospective monitoring. No qualifying prospective test has started, and none is an established Playbook rule.
Current candidates
The ideas awaiting prospective evidence
Exploratory candidate
Entertainment
When the source industry label contains Entertainment, this idea records the opposite of the displayed Rise or Drop direction.
- Historical direction match
- 65.0%
- Sample
- 60
- Unevaluated
- 10
39 of 60 linked cases · Wilson 95% interval +52.36%–+75.83%
Exploratory candidate
Consumer Discretionary
For records labelled Consumer Discretionary, this idea follows the source's displayed Rise or Drop direction.
- Historical direction match
- 54.3%
- Sample
- 615
- Unevaluated
- 130
334 of 615 linked cases · Wilson 95% interval +50.36%–+58.21%
Exploratory candidate
Five indicators · 100% R/D
When the source reports exactly five total indicators and 100% Rise/Drop strength, this idea follows the displayed direction.
- Historical direction match
- 76.9%
- Sample
- 26
- Unevaluated
- 5
20 of 26 linked cases · Wilson 95% interval +57.95%–+88.97%
How an idea matures
The evidence has somewhere honest to go next.
Historical patterns are the start of the process. Tradour will not lower a threshold or rename old evidence to make progress look faster.
- 01Historical evidenceCurrent
A pattern is visible in the supplied archive, with the search history and limits attached.
- 02Live testing
The rule is frozen before a new outcome and followed without moving its definition.
- 03Replicated
The result survives a separate repeat under a declared method.
- 04Established
Repeated reviewed evidence supports a stable Playbook rule.